5 replies to this topic

[monter]

Here are some power ranking and rating numbers I put together...note
that Cleburne did not play a zero week game. This is reflected in the
power numbers only, not the ratings.

Power Number:

The power number is a number that is the strength of schedule multiplied by the number of teams in the district, then multiplied by wins. As I get more time, this formula may change.

Ennis Lions 6.629
Waco High Lions 3.562
Waxahachie Indians 3.562
Cleburne Yellowjackets 3.314
Corsicana Tigers 6.629
Hewitt-Midway Panthers 3.562
Midlothian Panthers 0.000
Waco University Trojans 3.562

Passer Ratings (week 1):

These are the standard NCAA passer ratings derived from the stats I obtained.

Ennis Lions 175.6
Waco High Lions 66.4
Waxahachie Indians 111.1
Cleburne Yellowjackets 187.6
Corsicana Tigers 143.2
Hewitt-Midway Panthers 185.4
Midlothian Panthers 138.8
Waco University Trojans 201.4

Rusher Ratings (week 1):

The Rusher Rating is a rating that I sort of "reverse engineered" from the Passer rating. It uses yards per rush, touchdowns, and fumbles as components in the formula.

Ennis Lions 89.3
Waco High Lions 41.6
Waxahachie Indians 103.1
Cleburne Yellowjackets 73.4
Corsicana Tigers 50.8
Hewitt-Midway Panthers 80.0
Midlothian Panthers 10.0
Waco University Trojans 39.2

Combined Ratings (week 1):

Combined Ratings is simply the combined passer and rusher ratings.

Ennis Lions 264.9
Waco High Lions 108.0
Waxahachie Indians 214.2
Cleburne Yellowjackets 261.0
Corsicana Tigers 194.0
Hewitt-Midway Panthers 265.4
Midlothian Panthers 148.8
Waco University Trojans 240.6

Pythagorean Expectation:

The Pythagorean Expectation is something I borrowed from baseball. It essentially uses points scored, points allowed, and number of games played to determine the "expected" number of wins. The numbers reflected below are the difference in actual wins vs expected wins, with the actual Pythagorean Expectation number in parenthesis.

Ennis Lions 0 (2)
Waco High Lions 0 (1)
Waxahachie Indians -1 (2)
Cleburne Yellowjackets 0 (1)
Corsicana Tigers 0 (2)
Hewitt-Midway Panthers -1 (2)
Midlothian Panthers 0 (0)
Waco University Trojans 0 (1)

Week 1 District Totals
------------------------------------
Passing:
73/141 (51.77%), 1239 yards, 12 TD, 2 INT, 150.8 Rating.

Rushing:
321 rushes, 1790 yds (5.58 avg), 21 TD, 10 fumbles, 62.2 rating.

And, interestingly enough, there were the same number of pass attempts (141) district wide in week 0 and week 1.

[mmcclain5]

Do you by it a rock at a time or just go ahead and get an eight ball?

[TopRow]

Do you by it a rock at a time or just go ahead and get an eight ball?

LMAO!! me thinks more like a kilo

[TopRow]

Here are some power ranking and rating numbers I put together...note
that Cleburne did not play a zero week game. This is reflected in the
power numbers only, not the ratings.

Power Number:

The power number is a number that is the strength of schedule multiplied by the number of teams in the district, then multiplied by wins. As I get more time, this formula may change.

Ennis Lions 6.629
Waco High Lions 3.562
Waxahachie Indians 3.562
Cleburne Yellowjackets 3.314
Corsicana Tigers 6.629
Hewitt-Midway Panthers 3.562
Midlothian Panthers 0.000
Waco University Trojans 3.562

Passer Ratings (week 1):

These are the standard NCAA passer ratings derived from the stats I obtained.

Ennis Lions 175.6
Waco High Lions 66.4
Waxahachie Indians 111.1
Cleburne Yellowjackets 187.6
Corsicana Tigers 143.2
Hewitt-Midway Panthers 185.4
Midlothian Panthers 138.8
Waco University Trojans 201.4

Rusher Ratings (week 1):

The Rusher Rating is a rating that I sort of "reverse engineered" from the Passer rating. It uses yards per rush, touchdowns, and fumbles as components in the formula.

Ennis Lions 89.3
Waco High Lions 41.6
Waxahachie Indians 103.1
Cleburne Yellowjackets 73.4
Corsicana Tigers 50.8
Hewitt-Midway Panthers 80.0
Midlothian Panthers 10.0
Waco University Trojans 39.2

Combined Ratings (week 1):

Combined Ratings is simply the combined passer and rusher ratings.

Ennis Lions 264.9
Waco High Lions 108.0
Waxahachie Indians 214.2
Cleburne Yellowjackets 261.0
Corsicana Tigers 194.0
Hewitt-Midway Panthers 265.4
Midlothian Panthers 148.8
Waco University Trojans 240.6

Pythagorean Expectation:

The Pythagorean Expectation is something I borrowed from baseball. It essentially uses points scored, points allowed, and number of games played to determine the "expected" number of wins. The numbers reflected below are the difference in actual wins vs expected wins, with the actual Pythagorean Expectation number in parenthesis.

Ennis Lions 0 (2)
Waco High Lions 0 (1)
Waxahachie Indians -1 (2)
Cleburne Yellowjackets 0 (1)
Corsicana Tigers 0 (2)
Hewitt-Midway Panthers -1 (2)
Midlothian Panthers 0 (0)
Waco University Trojans 0 (1)

Week 1 District Totals
------------------------------------
Passing:
73/141 (51.77%), 1239 yards, 12 TD, 2 INT, 150.8 Rating.

Rushing:
321 rushes, 1790 yds (5.58 avg), 21 TD, 10 fumbles, 62.2 rating.

And, interestingly enough, there were the same number of pass attempts (141) district wide in week 0 and week 1.

Yea Monte, I'm all over that the whole Pythagorean Expectation angioplastygraham

tell ya what, you just break it down to the ratings and I'll take your word.

will you please come up with a lotterly Pythagorean lol

Seriously though, it is very cool

Edited by TopRow, 07 September 2008 - 11:23 AM.

[monter]

[color="#8B0000"][size=3]
[font="Comic Sans MS"]will you please come up with a lotterly Pythagorean lol

If I did come up with that, don't you think I'd use it first?? Of course, I'd wait until the jackpot was something over $100 million. Then I'd do it...

Of course, the odds of actually winning the Texas Lottery are slim.

Your probability of getting:

1 Number: .111
2 Numbers: .094
3 Numbers: .077
4 Numbers: .059
5 Numbers: .040
6 Numbers: .020

This is based on 54 balls.

Remember that probability ranges from 0 (no chance) to 1 (perfect chance).

So, if you want to figure your odds of winning, percentage-wise, if you play the lottery with $1, you have a 0.0000000379 probability of winning. Or over 26 million to 1. There are 23,904,380 people in Texas, as of 2007 (according to Wikipedia). So there's a chance the even if every person in Texas bought 1 ticket, that nobody would win.

More info here: http://members.cox.n...kes/rawdata.htm
And here: http://www.wikihow.c...late-Lotto-Odds

Edited by monter, 08 September 2008 - 10:31 AM.

[DefensiveMinded]

But if you don't buy a ticket then you have no chance of winning. So people will continue to buy them since they have that chance.