Here's the answer your academic ineptness can't
lol, good one!
(that's what I like, I got your attention!)
answer: Calpreps rankings are based on a model that compares teams on statistical performance only.
you mean you want to give a team points for having a D1 running back i spite of he fact that the numbers prove he can't score? Like maybe his line is terrible. All this is in the numbers because they score or they don't and the model knows how good the team scored against was which as we all know makes a big difference. Hence St X with loses and still a top 100 team. It still amazes me how little people understand numbers.
It is not a good predictor on how well a team would do against other teams head-to-head.
What is a better predictor? You eye balling the team?
This is why a Tx 3A can be ranked ahead of a far superior 5A. (Their model doesn't factor a size of a school, which for Tx teams is significant
did you ever hear of St Anthony's? It's the best high school in the country for bb. It is one of the smallest schools in the state (NJ).
Enrollment does not make a team good. How you preform does. How you perform is in the numbers.
The other fallacy they make is that all teams start off with a score of 0. Which means they believe that a 5-5 team in NJ is the same as a 5-5 team in Fla or Tx. Hence, the model assumes the statistically better team must win and the margin of victory should be the same. A logical thinker knows this is not true on both accounts. There is not parity within a state much less the country. So, this skews the data as well. As a result, overall it's not a source that should be relied on solely to prove a point.
solely relied on, absolutely not however it is the single best natural evaluator we have
I have referenced may polls, all support my contention (the only poll I ignore is Rivals, it's garbage)
You should really know the ins and outs of the model you keep thumping before spouting off garbage.
obviously I do, don't I? lol, you lose again
I'm killin' ya today!
Edited by noonereal, 31 March 2011 - 08:41 PM.